Liberals Continue To Hold Lead Over CPC: POLL

Published 04/21/2025 · Updated 04/21/2025

It might be time for the Conservatives to pull the goalie, as it were.

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This is a poll from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute.

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The party likely hopes that the release of a costed platform on Tuesday will give it the advantage needed to tighten the race as the clock winds down. As it stands, the federal Liberals and leader Mark Carney hold a five-point lead over the Conservatives (44 per cent vs 39 per cent), despite a pair of leaders’ debates, more than two million people having cast ballots so far in advanced voting, and two out of three parties (notwithstanding the Conservatives) having released costed platforms. Note, these voter data include both those who have already cast a ballot and those who intend to.

The story gets worse for the Conservatives when taking key urban battlegrounds into account. The Liberals have gained another five points in Toronto (416) and now hold a 34-point advantage over the CPC in that region. The movement has been smaller, but still positive and maintaining a large lead in suburban Toronto (905) and Metro Vancouver. In Montreal, the NDP have rallied some support post-debate, but are still supported in single digits, while the Liberals hold a commanding lead, doubling the second place Bloc Québécois (47% to 24%).

One other trend bodes well for the Liberals and portends a challenge for the CPC: among those Liberals who say they decided to support the party since the beginning of 2025, 45 per cent say this is because the Liberals are the best bet to defeat the CPC. This motivation is up from 30 per cent in March.

More Key Findings:

Asked who impressed them during the English and French debates last week, Mark Carney (34 per cent) and Pierre Poilievre (32 per cent) were chosen among the most viewers. One-quarter (25 per cent) said they were not impressed by anyone, while Yves-Francois Blanchet impressed one-in-five (22 per cent). NDP leader Jagmeet Singh was chosen by 13 per cent.

Carney holds advantages on nearly all top issues for Canadians, though he and Poilievre are tied on “reducing the cost of living” with 37 per cent of Canadians choosing each. Carney is preferred by 24 points on handling the U.S. trade relationship, 26 points on growing non-U.S. trade, 15 points on growing the economy, and 13 points on improving health care.
Carney’s overfall favourability holds at 54 per cent this week, while Poilievre’s ticks upward to 38 per cent. The CPC leader has still yet to surpass 40 per cent since September 2022.

Link to the poll here: www.angusreid.org/