Who Wants An Election? The Tories: POLL
This is a poll from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute:
With Ottawa’s parliamentary precinct plunged into the latest round of minority government brinksmanship, political watchers can scarce draw breath without simultaneously speculating about whether the nation will next go to the polls before 2024 is over.
But the appetite for ballot casting is not evenly spread across the political spectrum.
New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds that while nearly all Conservative supporters believe now is the time for an election, there is less consensus among the supporters of the powerbroker NDP and Bloc Quebecois. Majorities of NDP and Bloc supporters believe an election can wait, joining the more than three-quarters (79%) of likely Liberal voters who agree.
Overall, a majority (52%) of Canadians believe an election should be called, including at least half in every province, and a plurality of all demographics.
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I found this from the Angus Reid site on this poll: “Survey Methodology:
The Angus Reid Institute conducted an online survey from Sept. 12-18, 2024 among a representative randomized sample of 3,985 Canadian adults who are members of Angus Reid Forum.”
The forum is a place you can join to give your opinion: “Join the Angus Reid Forum and score awesome rewards for sharing your opinions on topics that shape decisions across Canada—and right here in your own community! ” So any organized group can shift the so called Pubic Opinion by joining the forum. There is no random polling anymore, just echo chambers.
Thanks for that info, Andrew. It certainly diminishes the weight one might give to Andgus Reid polls in the future. Interesting that they would even use the term “randomized sample” to describe the survey group.
While I suppose it may be technically correct that they’ve randomly selected people albeit from an existing group, it certainly doesn’t pass the smell test. They are well aware of the interpretation most people will put on “randomized sample” and that they aren’t meeting the normally-accepted definition. It certainly isn’t scientifically accurate or ethical.
I could randomly pick ten Redblack players and ask them if, on a scale of one to five, football was the most valued Canadian sport. It’s unlikely that they would give the same response as ten people I randomly picked out of people strolling on the Sparks Street Mall or those in line to get into a Sens game. All three samples would, however, be “random”.
I’m curious as to where and how the people were picked for this. Was it in one city, one province or where? I’ve never heard that the people who do the polling have actually went to different cities/provinces so I take it that maybe these polling people are just asking their neighbors. Who knows?
A) These “pollsters” (I was one for two firms for a time) – are just opinion clubs. Anyone can join. Sometimes they are paid for their input. Their contributions are just personal – off the cuff – opinions and as a result, the data they generate is about 60% non reliable. Most of what you see in the media as “poll results” is stuff from these coffee clubs. Not from real people at home – and paying attention. B) Sadly – the owners of these clubs use their data as a political device. NANOS is one of the worst. They got their idiot elected Mayor of Ottawa. C) That’s why I – based on observation and intelligence – am predicting a Harris win over that other idiot by 16%.